presents

the 2012 Emmy Awards

from Chris Beachum
"Boomer" of Gold Derby

Visit Gold Derby for the latest Emmy news, interviews & predictions

updated August 20, 2012

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comedy series

six nominees (in order of probability to win)...

1. "Modern Family" (episodes "Door to Door" & "Aunt Mommy", "Leap Day" & "Baby on Board", "Punkin' Chunkin'" & "Egg Drop")

2. "Curb Your Enthusiasm" (episodes "Vow of Silence" & "The Hero", "Palestinian Chicken" & "Car Periscope", "Mister Softee" & "Larry vs. Michael J. Fox")

3. "Girls" (episodes "Pilot' & "Vagina Picnic", "Hannah's Diary" & "Hard Being Easy", "Leave Me Alone" & "She Did")

4. "30 Rock" (episodes "Idiots Are People Two" & "Idiots Are People Three", "The Tuxedo Begins" & "St. Patrick's Day", "Meet the Woggels" & "Murphy Brown Lied To Us")

5. "The Big Bang Theory" (episodes "The Hawking Excitation" & "The Countdown Reflection", "The Russian Rocket Reaction" & "The Beta Test Initiation", "The Ornithophobia Diffusion" & "The Shiny Trinket Maneuver")

6. "Veep" (episodes "Pilot" & "Catherine", "Nicknames" & "Baseball", "Full Disclosure" & "Tears")

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comedy actress

seven nominees (in order of probability to win)...

1. Julia Louis-Dreyfus ("Veep") - episode "Tears"

2. Amy Poehler ("Parks and Recreation") - episode "Win, Lose or Draw"

3. Zooey Deschanel ("New Girl") - episode "Bad in Bed"

4. Tina Fey ("30 Rock") - episode "The Tuxedo Begins"

5. Lena Dunham ("Girls") - episode "She Did"

6. Edie Falco ("Nurse Jackie") - episode "Disneyland Sucks"

7. Melissa McCarthy ("Mike and Molly") - episode "The Dress"

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comedy actor

six nominees (in order of probability to win)...

1. Jim Parsons ("The Big Bang Theory") - episode "The Werewolf Transformation"

2. Louis C.K. ("Louie") - episode "Duckling"

3. Larry David ("Curb Your Enthusiasm") - episode "Palestinian Chicken"

4. Jon Cryer ("Two and a Half Men") - episode "Frodo's Headshots"

5. Don Cheadle ("House of Lies") - episode "Gods of Dangerous Financial Instruments"

6. Alec Baldwin ("30 Rock") - episode "Live From Studio 6H"

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comedy supporting actress

six nominees (in order of probability to win)...

1. Julie Bowen ("Modern Family") - episode "Go Bullfrogs!"

2. Sofia Vergara ("Modern Family") - episode "Tableau Vivant"

3. Kristen Wiig ("Saturday Night Live") - episode "Host: Mick Jagger"

4. Mayim Bialik ("The Big Bang Theory") - episode "The Shiny Trinket Maneuver"

5. Kathryn Joosten ("Desperate Housewives") - episode "Finishing the Hat"

6. Merritt Wever ("Nurse Jackie") - episode "One-Armed Jacks"

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comedy supporting actor

six nominees (in order of probability to win)...

1. Eric Stonestreet ("Modern Family") - episode "Treehouse"

2. Ty Burrell ("Modern Family") - episode "Lifetime Supply"

3. Max Greenfield ("New Girl") - episode "Control"

4. Jesse Tyler Ferguson ("Modern Family") - episode "Leap Day"

5. Ed O'Neill ("Modern Family") - episode "Baby on Board"

6. Bill Hader ("Saturday Night Live") - episode "Host: Katy Perry"

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comedy guest actress

six nominees (in order of probability to win)...

1. Melissa McCarthy ("Saturday Night Live") - episode "Host: Melissa McCarthy"

2. Maya Rudolph ("Saturday Night Live") - episode "Host: Maya Rudolph")

3. Elizabeth Banks ("30 Rock") - episode "The Return of Avery Jessup"

4. Kathy Bates ("Two and a Half Men") - episode "Why We Gave Up Women"

5. Dot-Marie Jones ("Glee") - episode "Choke"

6. Margaret Cho ("30 Rock") - episode "The Return of Avery Jessup"

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comedy guest actor

six nominees (in order of probability to win)...

1. Jimmy Fallon ("Saturday Night Live") - episode "Host: Jimmy Fallon"

2. Michael J. Fox ("Curb Your Enthusiasm") - episode "Larry vs. Michael J. Fox"

3. Will Arnett ("30 Rock") - episode "Idiots Are People Three!"

4. Jon Hamm ("30 Rock") - episode "Live From Studio 6H"

5. Greg Kinnear ("Modern Family") - episode "Me? Jealous?"

6. Bobby Cannavale ("Nurse Jackie") - episode "Disneyland Sucks"

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comedy directing

six nominees (in order of probability to win)...

1. Robert B. Weide ("Curb Your Enthusiasm") - episode "Palestinian Chicken"

2. Steven Levitan ("Modern Family") - episode "Baby on Board"

3. Louis C.K. ("Louie") - episode "Duckling"

4. Lena Dunham ("Girls") - episode "She Did"

5. Jake Kasdan ("New Girl") - episode "Pilot"

6. Jason Winer ("Modern Family") - episode "Virgin Territory"

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comedy writing

five nominees (in order of probability to win)...

1. Lena Dunham ("Girls") - episode "Pilot"

2. Louis C.K. ("Louie") - episode "Pregnant"

3. Chris McKenna ("Community") - episode "Remedial Chaos Theory"

4. Amy Poehler ("Parks and Recreation") - episode "The Debate"

5. Michael Schur ("Parks and Recreation") - episode "Win, Lose or Draw"

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drama series

six nominees (in order of probablity to win)...

1. "Downton Abbey" (episodes "Episode 1", "Episode 6", "Episode 7")

2. "Mad Men" (episodes "Signal 30" & "Far Away Places", "At the Codfish Ball" & "The Other Woman", "Commissions & Fees" & "The Phantom")

3. "Homeland" (episodes "Pilot" & "Grace", "The Good Soldier" & "The Weekend", "Marine One")

4. "Breaking Bad" (episodes "Box Cutter" & "Salud", "Problem Dog" & "Crawl Space", "End Times" & "Face Off")

5. "Boardwalk Empire" (episodes "21" & "Ourselves Alone", "Peg of Old" & "Two Boats and a Lifeguard", "Under God's Power She Flourishes" & "To the Lost")

6. "Game of Thrones" (episodes "What Is Dead May Never Die" & "Garden of Bones", "The Old Gods and the New" & "A Man Without Honor", "Blackwater" & "Valar Morghulis")

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drama actress

six nominees (in order of probablity to win)...

1. Claire Danes ("Homeland") - episode "The Vest"

2. Kathy Bates ("Harry's Law") - episode "Onward and Upward"

3. Julianna Margulies ("The Good Wife") - episode "Parenting Made Easy"

4. Elisabeth Moss ("Mad Men") - episode "The Other Woman"

5. Michelle Dockery ("Downton Abbey") - episode "Episode 7 Christmas"

6. Glenn Close ("Damages") - episode "I've Done Way Too Much For This Girl"

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drama actor

six nominees (in order of probability to win)...

1. Damian Lewis ("Homeland") - episode "Marine One"

2. Bryan Cranston ("Breaking Bad") - episode "Crawl Space"

3. Jon Hamm ("Mad Men") - episode "The Other Woman"

4. Steve Buscemi ("Boardwalk Empire") - episode "Two Boats and a Lifeguard"

5. Hugh Bonneville ("Downton Abbey") - episode "Episode 7 Christmas"

6. Michael C. Hall ("Dexter") - episode "Nebraska"

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drama supporting actress

six nominees (in order of probability to win)...

1. Christina Hendricks ("Mad Men") - episode "The Other Woman"

2. Maggie Smith ("Downton Abbey") - episode "Episode 1"

3. Joanne Froggatt ("Downton Abbey") - episode "Episode 7 Christmas"

4. Anna Gunn ("Breaking Bad") - episode "Cornered"

5. Archie Panjabi ("The Good Wife") - episode "The Dream Team"

6. Christine Baranski ("The Good Wife") - episode "Alienation of Affection"

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drama supporting actor

six nominees (in order of probability to win)...

1. Jared Harris ("Mad Men") - episode "Commissions and Fees"

2. Giancarlo Esposito ("Breaking Bad") - episode "Hermanos"

3. Aaron Paul ("Breaking Bad") - episode "End Times"

4. Peter Dinklage ("Game of Thrones") - episode "Blackwater"

5. Brendan Coyle ("Downton Abbey") - episode "Episode 7 Christmas"

6. Jim Carter ("Downton Abbey") - episode "Episode 2"

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drama guest actress

six nominees (in order of probability to win)...

1. Jean Smart ("The Good Wife") - episode "The Rematch"

2. Joan Cusack ("Shameless") - episode "Can I Have a Mother"

3. Loretta Devine ("Grey's Anatomy") - episode "If Only You Were Lonely"

4. Martha Plimpton ("The Good Wife") - episode "The Dream Team"

5. Julia Ormond ("Mad Men") - episode "The Phantom"

6. Uma Thurman ("Smash") - episode "Tech"

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drama guest actor

six nominees (in order of probability to win)...

1. Mark Margolois ("Breaking Bad") - episode "Face Off"

2. Dylan Baker ("The Good Wife") - episode "Marthas and Caitlins"

3. Michael J. Fox ("The Good Wife") - episode "Parenting Made Easy"

4. Jeremy Davies ("Justified") - episode "Coalition"

5. Ben Feldman ("Mad Men") - episode "Dark Shadows"

6. Jason Ritter ("Parenthood") - episode "Politics"

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drama directing

five nominees (in order of probability to win)...

1. Michael Cuesta ("Homeland") - episode "Pilot"

2. Vince Gilligan ("Breaking Bad") - episode "Face Off"

3. Brian Percival ("Downton Abbey") - episode "Episode 7"

4. Phil Abraham ("Mad Men") - episode "The Other Woman"

5. Tim Van Patten ("Boardwalk Empire") - episode "To the Lost"

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drama writing

five nominees (in order of probability to win)...

1. Julian Fellowes ("Downton Abbey") - episode "Episode 7"

2. Semi Chellas & Matthew Weiner ("Mad Men") - episode "The Other Woman"

3. Alex Gansa, Howard Gordon & Gideon Raff ("Homeland") - episode "Pilot"

4. Semi Chellas & Matthew Weiner ("Mad Men") - episode "Far Away Places"

5. Andre Jacquemetton & Maria Jacquemetton ("Mad Men") - episode "Commissions and Fees"

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movie/miniseries

six nominees (in order of probability to win)...

1. "Game Change"

2. "Hatfields and McCoys"

3. "Hemingway and Gellhorn"

4. "American Horror Story"

5. "Sherlock"

6. "Luther"

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movie/mini actress

five nominees (in order of probability to win)...

1. Julianne Moore ("Game Change")

2. Nicole Kidman ("Hemingway and Gellhorn")

3. Emma Thompson ("The Song of Lunch")

4. Ashley Judd ("Missing")

5. Connie Britton ("American Horror Story")

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movie/mini actor

six nominees (in order of probability to win)...

1. Idris Elba ("Luther")

2. Clive Owen ("Hemingway and Gellhorn")

3. Woody Harrelson ("Game Change")

4. Bill Paxton ("Hatfields and McCoys")

5. Kevin Costner ("Hatfields and McCoys")

6. Benedict Cumberbatch ("Sherlock")

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movie/mini supporting actress

five nominees (in order of probability to win)...

1. Jessica Lange ("American Horror Story")

2. Mare Winningham ("Hatfields and McCoys")

3. Sarah Paulson ("Game Change")

4. Judy Davis ("Page Eight")

5. Frances Conroy ("American Horror Story")

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movie/mini supporting actor

five nominees (in order of probability to win)...

1. Ed Harris ("Game Change")

2. Tom Berenger ("Hatfields and McCoys")

3. Denis O'Hare ("American Horror Story")

4. David Strathairn ("Hemingway and Gellhorn")

5. Martin Freeman ("Sherlock")